The tipBath 15:15Sun 13 Sept
Placedreturned at 14/1
4Racing silks carried by Percy Jones
15:15 Bath
Percy Jones

The bet, settled

Take
18/1Betfair Sportsbook
Stake
0.5pt each-way
Places
4 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
14/1
Since we posted
18/116/1-11%

The market has come our way since we posted — others are backing it too.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 12 in 100Board 5.9

Kenza has this at 12 in 100; the board prices it at 6. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

The long shot — Percy Jones, 15:15 Bath

Today's long shot is Percy Jones at 18/1 with Betfair Sportsbook in the 15:15 at Bath. The board says one thing; Kenza's reading of the race says it is livelier than that price. Last time: 2 of 5 at Lingfield (AW) (went off 18/1). Half a point each-way, 4 places at 1/5 — the way to play a price like this is small, with the places doing the work. Long shots are exactly that; expect most to lose. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race13 runners · 3 places · 1/4 the odds
5Boilermaker6/4
0Basilette11/2
3Belle Of Kt13/2
10The Craftymaster9/1
6Lusaka10/1
1Taritino11/1
2Curran14/1
4Percy Jones14/1
7Fair Dinkum16/1
9Noble Grace16/1
8Two Plus Two25/1
12Virtual Hug40/1
13Buck Barrow66/1

entry #121 · published 12/09/2026, 20:45:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee