The tipGoodwood 14:00Sat 29 Aug
Placedreturned at 11/1
3Racing silks carried by Pellitory
14:00 Goodwood
Pellitory

The bet, settled

Take
22/1Bet Victor
Stake
0.5pt each-way
Places
4 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
11/1
Since we posted
25/112/1-48%

The market has come our way since we posted — others are backing it too.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 10 in 100Board 4.3

Kenza has this at 10 in 100; the board prices it at 4. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

The long shot — Pellitory, 14:00 Goodwood

Today's long shot is Pellitory at 22/1 with Bet Victor in the 14:00 at Goodwood. The board says one thing; Kenza's reading of the race says it is livelier than that price. Last time: 1 of 6 at Haydock (went off 3/1). Half a point each-way, 4 places at 1/5 — the way to play a price like this is small, with the places doing the work. Long shots are exactly that; expect most to lose. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race15 runners · 3 places · 1/4 the odds
5Forty Years On6/4
8Ghost Mode5/2
12Rhoscolyn13/2
0Aalto8/1
0Addison Grey17/2
0Completely Random10/1
3Pellitory11/1
13Leadman12/1
15Ironwill13/1
2Fondo Blanco14/1
7Galeron20/1
11Darkness22/1
6The Fingal Raven33/1
0Carnival Of Light50/1
14Rare Change66/1

entry #76 · published 28/08/2026, 20:45:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee