The tipCarlisle 16:45Tue 11 Aug
Placedreturned at 15/2
4Racing silks carried by Dance Time
16:45 Carlisle
Dance Time

The bet, settled

Take
7/1Bet365
Stake
1pt each-way
Places
3 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
15/2
Since we posted
7/19/1+25%

The market has gone the other way since we posted. We show that as readily as the other direction.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 18 in 100Board 13

Kenza has this at 18 in 100; the board prices it at 13. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

Dance Time — 16:45 Carlisle

Dance Time in the 16:45 at Carlisle. Take the 7/1 with Bet365 while it lasts — the general price is 7/1, and Kenza rates this race closer than the board does. Last time: 3 of 11 at Carlisle (went off 10/1). Each-way, 3 places. A 8-runner field with real place terms is the right shape for this. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race6 runners · 2 places · 1/4 the odds
7Asia Force11/8
1Talismans Time9/4
3Shipshape4/1
4Dance Time9/1
6Gibside18/1
5Ludo's Landing20/1

entry #22 · published 10/08/2026, 20:45:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee