The tipCurragh 16:00Sun 9 Aug
Placedreturned at 11/1
8Racing silks carried by Velozee
16:00 Curragh
Velozee

The bet, settled

Take
16/1Bet365
Stake
0.5pt each-way
Places
3 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
11/1
Since we posted
16/111/1-29%

The market has come our way since we posted — others are backing it too.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 15 in 100Board 6.7

Kenza has this at 15 in 100; the board prices it at 7. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

The long shot — Velozee, 16:00 Curragh

Today's long shot is Velozee at 16/1 with Bet365 in the 16:00 at Curragh. The board says one thing; Kenza's reading of the race says it is livelier than that price. Last time: 3 of 11 at Ascot (went off 9.50). Half a point each-way, 3 places at 1/5 — the way to play a price like this is small, with the places doing the work. Long shots are exactly that; expect most to lose. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race8 runners · 3 places · 1/5 the odds
7Sun Goddess11/8
2Celeron15/8
3Folsom Blues11/2
8Velozee10/1
4King Of Cloughan16/1
6Tribeca18/1
1Carry The Flag28/1
5The Scallionator80/1

entry #17 · published 08/08/2026, 20:45:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee