The tipDoncaster 15:35Sat 12 Sept
Placedreturned at 22/1
11Racing silks carried by Amelia Earhart
15:35 Doncaster
Amelia Earhart

The bet, settled

Take
33/1Bet Victor
Stake
0.5pt each-way
Places
3 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
22/1
Since we posted
33/125/1-24%

The market has come our way since we posted — others are backing it too.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 8.8 in 100Board 3.4

Kenza has this at 9 in 100; the board prices it at 3. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

The long shot — Amelia Earhart, 15:35 Doncaster

Today's long shot is Amelia Earhart at 33/1 with Bet Victor in the 15:35 at Doncaster. The board says one thing; Kenza's reading of the race says it is livelier than that price. Last time: 2 of 8 at Cork (IRE) (went off 11/4). Half a point each-way, 3 places at 1/5 — the way to play a price like this is small, with the places doing the work. Long shots are exactly that; expect most to lose. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race11 runners · 3 places · 1/5 the odds
3Christmas Day13/8
4Enceladus5/2
9Pierre Bonnard3/1
8Highwayman11/1
7Hatteen22/1
11Amelia Earhart24/1
6Golden Story33/1
2Alderman40/1
5Galiyan40/1
1Action66/1
10Rebel Rocker100/1

entry #118 · published 11/09/2026, 20:45:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee