The tipKempton (AW) 20:00Wed 2 Sept
Wonreturned at 33/1
1Racing silks carried by Aigeas
20:00 Kempton (AW)
Aigeas

The bet, settled

Take
20/1BetMGM
Stake
0.5pt each-way
Places
3 · 1/5 the odds
Went off
33/1
Since we posted
18/133/1+79%

The market has gone the other way since we posted. We show that as readily as the other direction.

Our line vs the board
Kenza 11 in 100Board 5.3

Kenza has this at 11 in 100; the board prices it at 5. That gap is the bet.

The reasoning

The long shot — Aigeas, 20:00 Kempton (AW)

Today's long shot is Aigeas at 20/1 with BetMGM in the 20:00 at Kempton (AW). The board says one thing; Kenza's reading of the race says it is livelier than that price. Last time: 9 of 11 at Kempton (AW) (went off 9/1). Half a point each-way, 3 places at 1/5 — the way to play a price like this is small, with the places doing the work. Long shots are exactly that; expect most to lose. — slate-writer-v1/M6
The race8 runners · 3 places · 1/5 the odds
8Blakefell6/4
0Comic Hero9/4
3Shaman Champion10/3
6Hardy's Hero5/1
4Raggaas13/2
2Sierra Sands15/2
7Manly Fireball12/1
1Aigeas28/1

entry #88 · published 01/09/2026, 20:46:18 · 18+ · analysis, never a guarantee